Tariq Shahzad

Iran-US War: Permanent Truce or just a Paper Peace?

Iranian government-aligned media outlets reportedly shared details of a 14-point agreement between the US and Iran on 14-15 June 2026. Just before a final agreement was expected to be signed, offering a glimpse of the plan to stop fighting in the Middle East.

This agreement is referred to as the ‘Islamabad Accord’. It is said to have emerged following Pakistan’s pivotal role in facilitating discussions between the two countries and bringing them on the negotiation table to come across a peace agreement. This is a diplomatic victory for Pakistan, not only in the region but in the world.

The United States and Iran have reached an agreement on ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. They have up to 60 days to negotiate about Iran’s program and lift international sanctions.

Nothing can be said with certainty about the complete end of this war yet, because despite a temporary ceasefire agreement, both Iran and the United States are demanding their own terms.

The agreement proposes that the Iran and US have reached to the common grounds for peace establishment but, if we look back in the history, the ‘love-hate relationship’ between the US and Iran has been one of a short-lived interaction rather than a long-term stability. They do not share a consistent history that supports peaceful coexistence. It remains to be seen whether this agreement is merely a formality or will it actually lead to a lasting peace. A peace written on paper is not the same as a truce. Such agreements can be undone by a future government, whereas a real and lasting truce involves genuine change and the rebuilding of trust between the countries. On the other hand, Israel continues to violate this temporary agreement and continues to attack Lebanese territories. In such a situation, what are the final negotiations for a permanent ceasefire? It cannot be said definitively at this time.

This agreement entails:

Ceasefire: The agreement provides for ceasing all hostilities, including the ones going on in Lebanon.

Reopening the Hormuz: The United States will stop obstructing the Strait of Hormuz and allow Iran to use it for transportation and business.

No Nuclear Weapons: Iran will pledge not to develop nuclear weapons. The next 60 days will be dedicated to discussions on how Iran’s nuclear material can be monitored with the help of the IAEA.

Benefit the Economy: The US will let Iran sell its oil and, will unfreeze billions of dollars of funds. The US will also provide $300 billion for rebuilding and development of the region with the countries.

As we have mentioned above, this agreement is only a beginning and has not yet been fully finalized. Significant mistrust still exists between the US and Iran, and several key issues remain unaddressed. Some in the US and Israel are worried about whether the United States will uphold its commitments, while others in Iran are insisting that the US honour its claims.

The US-Iran war was, on the one hand, a manifestation of the barbarity of a faltering imperialism, while on the other hand, it served to support the faltering steps of hardline conservative regime. The most affected people in this war are the ordinary people of Iran and Lebanon. who were already suffering from political oppression as well as severe economic hardship. These same ordinary people will suffer the consequences of this barbarity in the form of economic misery for decades to come. Ordinary Americans, who are already under severe economic pressure, will also suffer the consequences of this war in the form of more economic burdens.

According to the Department of Defense that they have expended 25-29 billion dollars on short term expenses such as ammunition and operational purposes. The war led to a request for additional funding by the Trump administration for the US Armed Forces. The Pentagon asks for $200 billion. But according to an economist from Harvard, the ultimate cost of this war will be $1 trillion, considering such factors as veteran care and building repairs.

One thing is clear from this whole situation: on the one hand, the faltering imperialism is trying to maintain its grip, while on the other hand, radical nationalism is trying to maintain its existence.

In this, the common people will not find anything but deprivation, misery and humiliation. Because neither capitalism nor strict socialism has been able to solve the basic problems of humans, but in the final analysis, both are two sides of the same coin. There is only one path to the survival and prosperity of the common people of Iran, America, and the world, and that path is socialism. Only then can the common people of the world find prosperity and war, conflict, and barbarity be definitively ended.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the writer’s personal opinions only and do not represent the official position or policy satement of Barabri Party Pakistan.

By:Tariq Shahzad